By Nicos Christodoulakis
This booklet presents a quantitative framework for the research of clash dynamics and for estimating the industrial expenditures linked to civil wars. the writer develops converted Lotka-Volterra equations to version clash dynamics, to yield practical representations of conflict approaches, and to permit us to evaluate lengthy clash traps. the industrial charges of civil wars are evaluated with the aid of replacement tools: to start with, the writer employs a creation functionality to figure out how the destruction of human and actual capital shares undermines monetary development within the medium time period. Secondly, he develops a man-made keep an eye on technique, the place the associated fee is got because the divergence of exact fiscal task from a hypothetical course within the absence of civil conflict. the adaptation among the 2 techniques offers a sign of the opposed externalities impinging upon the financial system within the type of institutional destruction. through the use of distinct time-series relating to conflict casualties, neighborhood socio-economic signs, and capital inventory destruction in the course of the Greek Civil conflict (1946-1949), a full-scale program of the above framework is gifted and discussed.
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An Economic Analysis of Conflicts: With an Application to the Greek Civil War 1946-1949 by Nicos Christodoulakis